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What I Expected from Life

TL;DR: Nobody handed my generation the future we were promised. The Berlin Wall fell, a wristwatch outcomputed a room-sized mainframe, and the World Trade Center came down, none of it predicted. Meanwhile the lunar colony I confidently expected never arrived. This is a short inventory of what surprised me and what never showed up.

We sure do live in a fantastic era. The world has changed in ways I’d never have predicted, and I’ve changed as well.

I was a child in the sixties and a teenager in the seventies. That was a very particular moment to be forming expectations about the future. We’d just put men on the moon. Everything in the culture told us that was the beginning of something instead of the end of it.

Magazines ran illustrations of orbital hotels. Television gave us a starship with a crew that argued about ethics. The assumption underneath all of it was that progress moved in one direction and that the direction was outward.

What I’ve learned since is that the future arrives. It just arrives somewhere else, doing something you weren’t watching for, while the thing you expected sits unbuilt with nobody able to say exactly why.

So this is an inventory. What blindsided me, what never showed up, and where my own life went instead.

The things I never predicted

Some of the events I’d never have predicted when I was a child:

The watch one still stops me when I think about it properly. In college I worked on a machine that filled a room, needed its own cooling, and had a team of people whose entire job was keeping it running. What’s on my wrist right now would have been science fiction to everybody in that building, and I bought it without much thought and I complain when the battery gets low.

The Berlin Wall is the one I misjudged worst.

I grew up with the Cold War as a permanent feature of reality, the way weather is permanent. Nobody I knew treated it as a situation that could end. Then it ended, on television, in a few weeks, and the thing everybody had organized their fears around simply stopped existing.

What that taught me is that the largest changes don’t announce themselves in advance. They look impossible right up until they look inevitable, and there’s almost no period in between where they look likely.

The future that never arrived

On the other hand, I had some expectations that didn’t happen:

The moon one is the one I feel. We went, six times, and then we stopped, and a person born the year of the last landing is now in their fifties.

I couldn’t have believed that as a boy. If you’d told me we’d go to the moon and then not go back for the rest of my life, I would have assumed something terrible had happened. Nothing terrible happened. We just stopped, for reasons that made sense to somebody with a budget.

The paperless office is the one I find funny, and I’ve earned the right to find it funny.

I spent twenty years running computer operations for a major national retailer, and one of the projects I’m proudest of removed several pallets of paper a day from each of our distribution centers. Pallets. Every day. That was decades into the era when paper was supposed to have disappeared, and we were still shifting it by forklift.

The four-day week is the promise that never paid off. Every piece of automation I installed across thirty-three years was justified partly on the time it would save. All of it saved the time. None of the time came back to anybody. More work absorbed it. That’s a lesson about organizations and not about technology.

What Richard Lowe never predicted and what never arrivedTwo lists. Never predicted: the fall of the Berlin Wall, a wristwatch with more computing power than a room-sized college computer, the World Trade Center collapse, the whole library of human knowledge in a pocket, phones used for everything but calls, and machines that hold a conversation. Expected but never arrived: a permanent lunar colony, a crewed mission to Mars, underwater cities, flying cars, the paperless office, and the four-day week automation was supposed to buy.The future I got, and the one I expectedA child of the sixties keeps scoreNever predictedThe Berlin Wall fallsA wristwatch outcomputes a room-sizedmainframeThe World Trade Center comes downAll human knowledge in a pocketA phone for everything but callsMachines that hold a conversationExpected, never arrivedA permanent lunar colonyA crewed mission to MarsUnderwater citiesFlying carsThe paperless officeThe four-day weekThe future arrives. It just arrives somewhere else.
What Richard Lowe never predicted and what never arrivedTwo lists. Never predicted: the fall of the Berlin Wall, a wristwatch with more computing power than a room-sized college computer, the World Trade Center collapse, the whole library of human knowledge in a pocket, phones used for everything but calls, and machines that hold a conversation. Expected but never arrived: a permanent lunar colony, a crewed mission to Mars, underwater cities, flying cars, the paperless office, and the four-day week automation was supposed to buy.The future I got, and the one IexpectedA child of the sixties keeps scoreNever predictedThe Berlin Wall fallsA wristwatch outcomputes a room-sizedmainframeThe World Trade Center comes downAll human knowledge in a pocketA phone for everything but callsMachines that hold a conversationExpected, never arrivedA permanent lunar colonyA crewed mission to MarsUnderwater citiesFlying carsThe paperless officeThe four-day weekThe future arrives. It just arrives somewhereelse.

The future arrives. It just arrives somewhere else.

Twists, goals, and dreams

Then there’s my own life. That took directions I wouldn’t have guessed at any point before they happened. Every one of these came out of a conversation, an accident, or somebody asking me a question I hadn’t considered.

What I didn’t expect:

The bellydance photography is the one people ask about.

I did that for nearly a decade and shot around twelve hundred performances, and nothing in my earlier life pointed at it. I was a computer operations man who bought a camera. Then somebody asked me to photograph a show, and then the shows kept happening, and at some point I looked up and it was a major part of who I was.

Being a widower is the one I won’t dress up. There’s no version of that I expected and no version I prepared for, and it reorganized everything that came after it. And, of course, I had some goals that didn’t happen:

The geology one isn’t entirely a loss. I never worked in the field, and I’ve been reading about it for five decades and I still stop the car for a good roadcut. There’s a version of not achieving a goal where the interest survives the career, and that’s where I ended up with rocks.

The published author one is the strangest entry on this list, because it did happen and it happened so far outside the shape I imagined that I didn’t recognize it as the same goal. I pictured novels. What arrived was a hundred and thirteen books under my own name and fifty-four more written for other people, almost none of them fiction, in a career I hadn’t heard of when I set the goal.

The useful thing about having your expectations overturned this thoroughly is that it makes the next set easier to hold loosely. I still set goals. I have simply stopped assuming I know which of them will happen or what they’ll look like when they do. The current list:

And a few places I’d like to travel:

And a few things I’d like to do:

There are still some people I’d like to meet, and by that I mean sit down with and have a real conversation:

If I suddenly found myself with five million dollars after taxes:

And if I made some real money, say a hundred million dollars, I’d probably buy a castle.

What the inventory is for

I didn’t write any of this down to complain about the moon.

What strikes me, reading the four lists together, is how badly I did at the whole exercise.

Nearly everything on the first list arrived without warning. Nearly everything on the second seemed certain and never happened. The twists in my own life weren’t on either list, because they were the kind of thing a person says yes to.

That’s not a complaint. It’s close to the opposite. The unpredicted things have been better than the predicted ones, and by a wide margin. I’d trade the lunar colony for the twelve hundred performances I photographed, and I didn’t even know that trade was on offer.

The four lists in Richard’s inventory
List Examples from the page What it showed
Events never predicted Berlin Wall falling, World Trade Center, a watch outcomputing a college mainframe Large changes arrive without warning
Future that never arrived Lunar colony, Mars mission, paperless office, four-day week Things that seemed certain never happened
Twists in his own life Widower, bellydance photographer, twenty years in retail computer operations, moving to Florida Came from saying yes to things
Goals that didn’t happen Geologist, scientist, rock and gem collection, a musical instrument Some interests survive without the career
Current goals Climb Mt San Gorgonio, finish four novels, photograph every faire Many could start this month

The other thing I notice is how many entries on the goals list are things I could start this month. Learn an instrument.

Climb the mountain. Finish the novels. None of those are waiting on the world to cooperate. They’re waiting on me. That’s a more uncomfortable finding than any amount of disappointment about flying cars.

So I’m going to keep making lists like this. Not because I expect to get better at predicting, since sixty years of evidence says I won’t, but because writing down what you expected and then reading it back later is one of the few honest measurements a person gets.

Frequently Asked Questions

What did Richard Lowe expect the future to hold as a child?
A lunar colony, mostly. I grew up certain the United States would have a permanent base on the moon, and instead I got a wristwatch with more computing power than a room-sized mainframe. The future arrived, just not the one advertised.
What world events surprised Richard Lowe the most?
The Berlin Wall falling and the Soviet Union collapsing. Nothing in my childhood suggested either was possible, and then both happened, along with events like September 11 that nobody sane would have predicted.
Should you keep setting new goals as you get older?
Yes, constantly. The essay lists them: places to travel, things to learn, people to meet. Expectations get overturned, and goals are what you build from the wreckage.

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