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The case for taking AI seriously, even if you think it’s hype

This entry is part 7 of 9 in the series AI for Doubters

TL;DR: Doubters of AI are not stupid, and many of their concerns are reasonable. The hype is real, the hallucinations are real, the wasted spending on bad AI rollouts is real. None of that changes the underlying fact that the tools work for a specific set of jobs, that the work being affected includes work you do, and that waiting until the dust settles is a strategy with real costs what I actually tell clients about AI you may not be counting. Here is the honest case for taking AI seriously as a working professional, what serious means in practice, and how to engage with the technology without becoming the kind of person who annoys you about it.

The doubter case has real points

I want to start by giving the doubter position its due, because most pro-AI writing skips this and the skipping is part of why doubters tune out. The hype is genuinely excessive. Companies are claiming AI capabilities that do not exist, products are being sold on demos that bear no resemblance to working behavior, and the cycle of breathless announcements has produced real fatigue in people who have been around long enough to remember the last three or four similar cycles. That fatigue is rational. So is the suspicion that this one will fade like the others.

The hallucination problem is real too. Models invent facts in the same calm voice they use for true ones. The ethical questions are not made up. Job displacement worries are legitimate for some categories of work. Big firms pushing AI hardest have obvious commercial interests in convincing you it matters, which is reason to discount their claims. All of those positions are defensible, and the doubter who holds them is not being unreasonable. what I actually tell clients about AI A piece I wrote on the actual problem with AI content takes the doubter position seriously on the quality issue, which is real and persistent.

What the doubter case misses

The mistake the doubter position makes is treating “AI is overhyped” as if it implied “AI is not real.” Those are different claims; the first is true and the second is false. Hype around early internet companies in the late nineties was also excessive, and most of the companies failed, and the technology that survived nevertheless restructured every industry that touched it. The hype around mobile in the late aughts was excessive, and most apps failed, and mobile nevertheless became the dominant computing platform within a decade. Doubters who said “this is hype” were correct in both cases. Those who said “therefore it does not matter” were wrong, and the wrongness compounded for years.

The pattern repeats because hype and reality are not opposites. A real technology can be hyped to comic excess and still produce real shifts in the work it touches. AI is at that stage now. The specific things it does well are doing them in production, today, in workflows that are quietly absorbing it whether the doubter notices or not. The companies failing and the products vanishing do not change the underlying capability. They are the noise around the signal, and treating the noise as the signal is exactly the doubter’s mistake.

What “taking it seriously” actually means

The pro-adoption side has its own caricature problem. To take AI seriously does not mean becoming the loud person who name-drops models, posts about prompts, and talks about agents at every meeting. That person is annoying for good reason. Serious engagement means something quieter. It means using the tools where they help, ignoring them where they do not, and developing a working sense of which is which based on your actual experience rather than on marketing claims.

For a writer, taking AI seriously means using it for transcription cleanup and research orientation while keeping it out of the voice work. A consultant uses it for first-pass document drafts while doing the actual analysis themselves. A small business owner automates the dull email and scheduling work that was eating their week, while keeping client relationships fully human. The executive who takes it seriously understands what the technology is so they can make sensible decisions about adopting it across their organization rather than rejecting it out of suspicion or adopting it out of fear of missing out. A piece on adopting AI in your professional work covers the practical version of this.

The cost of waiting

The doubter’s working theory is usually some version of “I will wait until the dust settles.” That theory has hidden costs the doubter rarely counts. The first is the compounding gap. People who started using AI seriously two years ago have developed working judgment about where it helps and where it does not. People who wait will need to develop that judgment from scratch when they finally engage, and the development takes months. The gap between the early starter and the late starter is experiential, not chronological, and the experience matters more than the calendar.

The second cost is the visible-to-others effect. Clients and colleagues notice who is moving with the technology and who is not. A consultant whose deliverables suddenly look slower and more expensive than the new entrants in the field will find clients quietly moving, and the consultant will not always know why. An executive whose team has not engaged with AI while their competitors have will find themselves making decisions on a different time scale than the competition. The compounding does not announce itself. It just happens, and the doubter is the last to see it because the doubter was looking for hype to fade and missed the signal underneath.

The doubter who is right after all

Some doubters will turn out to be right, and the honest version of this piece has to admit it. If your work is something AI genuinely cannot do, and the boundaries of what AI cannot do hold steady, then the holdout position is the correct one. Master craftsmen in trades that depend on physical skill, therapists who deliver presence rather than information, performers whose value is being a specific human in the room, and a long list of other categories may find that AI does not affect their work meaningfully, ever. The doubter who works in one of those categories and stays out of AI for that reason is not making a mistake.

The catch is that most professional work is not in those categories. Most knowledge work involves writing, summarizing, researching, drafting, analyzing, and communicating, all of which AI affects substantially. If you do knowledge work and you are a doubter, the question to ask is not “will this technology fade.” The question is “what would change about my work if I assumed the technology was real and the relevant capabilities are here to stay?” That question is the entry point to taking it seriously, regardless of what you decide afterward.

What you owe yourself as a doubter

If you have been on the doubter side, you owe yourself one experiment. Pick a single task you do every week that involves writing, organizing, or summarizing. Pick a tool a friend has actually used, not the latest hyped release. Spend two hours trying the tool on the task. Notice honestly what worked and what did not. If the tool was useless on your task, you have learned something specific and your skepticism is now better informed. If the tool saved you real time, you have learned something different, and the doubter position needs to be updated to account for it.

The experiment does not commit you to anything. It just gives you actual data instead of the secondhand impressions that fuel most skepticism. The doubter who has done the experiment and decided AI does not help their work is in a stronger position than the doubter who never tried. The doubter who has done the experiment and discovered the tool was useful has saved themselves years of compounding gap. Either way, the cost is two hours, and the upside is real knowledge instead of inherited suspicion.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Isn’t AI mostly hype?
The hype is real and excessive. The underlying capability is also real. Both are true at the same time. The mistake is treating “this is hyped” as if it implied “this is not real.” Mobile, the internet, and many other technologies went through hype cycles and still restructured the industries they touched.
Why should I take AI seriously when many products are failing?
Most products from any technology cycle fail. The ones that work matter. AI is in production today on specific tasks that affect knowledge work, and the failures of bad products do not change the fact that the working ones are absorbing your industry’s workflows quietly.
What does “taking it seriously” actually mean?
Use the tools where they help, ignore them where they do not, and develop working judgment about which is which based on your own experience. It is the quiet version, not the loud version. The loud version is annoying for good reason.
What’s the cost of waiting until the dust settles?
A compounding experiential gap between you and people who started two years ago, visible-to-others effects with clients and colleagues, and the discovery that decisions you should have been making early are now being made by you under pressure with no working judgment. The dust does not settle in a way that allows easy late entry.
Could I be right to stay out of AI?
Yes, if your work is in a category AI genuinely does not affect, like physical craft, therapeutic presence, or live performance. For most knowledge work the holdout position will not age well, but for some specific kinds of work it is the correct stance.


📁︎ Artificial Intelligence📁︎ Thought Leadership

🏷︎ AI Adoption🏷︎ AI and Your Career🏷︎ AI vs Human Ghostwriting🏷︎ AI Writing

📝 Disclaimer

The views and opinions expressed in this blog post are solely those of Richard Lowe and are based on personal experience and research. This content is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as professional legal, financial, accounting, or business advice. Always consult with qualified professionals before making important business or legal decisions. Richard Lowe is not a lawyer, accountant, or licensed professional advisor, and this content does not establish any professional relationship.

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